Author Description

. The objective of this study was to develop a model for predicting phenological development to flowering in rice ( Oryza sativa L.). Data from the literature were analysed to evaluate a basic equation for crop development. The Beta function, commonly used as a skewed probability density function in statistics, was found to accurately describe responses of rice development rate to both temperature and photoperiod. Controlled-environment experiments were then conducted for detailed understanding of the physiological basis of photothermal responses of preflowering development in rice. Effects of day and night temperature on development to flowering were found to be different. The plants did not respond to photoperiod throughout the entire preflowering period, instead, the photoperiod- sensitive phase was sandwiched by two photoperiod-insensitive phases. It appeared that responses to both day and night temperature were stronger during the photoperiod-sensitive phase than during the two photoperiod-insensitive phases. The results also indicated that leaf appearance occurring simultaneously during the preflowering development had a different thermal response from that of the development per se. Based on the experimental results, a detailed model for photothermal responses of flowering in rice was developed, using the Beta function. The model, referred to as the three-stage Beta (3s-Beta) model, describes different photothermal responses during the photoperiod-sensitive phase and the photoperiod-insensitive phases of preflowering ontogeny. Using parameter values derived from controlled-environment experiments, the 3s-Beta model adequately predicted rice flowering dates observed in field conditions. It preformed better than several existing models over a wide range of environments. In order to assist new plant type design, the 3s-Beta model was applied to determine optimal preflowering phenological traits of rice for an increased yield potential in three different irrigat